Strategy & Foresight

Delphi Opinion Cycle

~2 min · 6 questions Org360

About this survey

The Delphi Method (also known as the Delphi Opinion Cycle) is a structured communication technique used for gathering expert opinions and achieving consensus through multiple rounds of surveys.

This survey supports the first round of opinion collection. The outcome can then be shared with the experts in two or three subsequent rounds, for refinement and consensus building, until a final consensus is reached.

Developed by the RAND Corporation in the 1950s, it is widely used in strategic foresight, policy analysis, and decision-making.

Instructions for the sender

  • Anonymity: Experts do not directly interact, reducing bias and groupthink.
  • Iteration: Multiple rounds refine opinions toward a consensus.
  • Controlled Feedback: Summarized responses help experts adjust their views.
  • Expert Judgement: Relies on the knowledge of selected experts rather than raw data alone.

This survey supports the first round of opinion collection in the Delphi method, the open-ended questionnaire. The outcome can then be shared with the experts in two subsequent rounds, for refinement and consensus building, until a final consensus is reached. Read more about the method.

Read more in the The Futures Toolkit and this Article on Delphi by Foresight University.

Types of questions

Open text

Number of questions

6

Author

Org360

License

Creative Commons

Survey questions

General Future Trends

1.1What are the most critical emerging trends that will shape this sector over the next decade? (open text)

Strategic Priorities

2.1What should be the top three priorities for organizations in this sector to remain competitive and impactful? (open text)

Innovation and Technology

3.1Which emerging technologies have the potential to revolutionize operations and outcomes in this sector? (open text)

Risk and Resilience

4.1What are the greatest risks facing this sector in the short term (1-3 years) and long term (10+ years)? (open text)

Collaboration and Stakeholders

5.1How can organizations in this sector foster collaboration across stakeholders to achieve shared goals? (open text)

Sustainability and Ethics

6.1What sustainability practices will be crucial for this sector to adopt in the next decade? (open text)

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